The Charizard price in Australia, card by card
By CardPop Research Team — 2026-07-31 · 8 min read
How this article was produced: drafted with AI assistance from CardPop’s own Australian market price snapshots — every dollar figure traces to a recorded sale — then checked and published by the CardPop team.
Five tracked Charizards, 26 days of daily eBay AU/US snapshots, and a hard look at the gap between raw and graded asking prices. Two of these move regularly. One barely trades at all.
Where the Charizard price in Australia actually comes from
On 29 July 2026, the 16 raw Base Set Charizard listings in CardPop's daily eBay AU/US snapshot averaged AUD $711.08. The cheapest was $114.39. The dearest was $2,089.66. That single spread tells you more about this card than any average will.
Before the numbers, one thing has to be clear. These snapshots capture listings, converted to AUD, taken once a day. They are what sellers are asking, not what buyers paid. A listing that has sat unloved since March still counts on the day it is scraped. So when the average moves, sometimes that is the market and sometimes it is one optimistic seller adding a $2,000 card to a pool of sixteen.
The window here is short and I will name it every time: 4 July to 29 July 2026, 26 daily observations. That is not long enough to talk about trends in the way collectors usually mean the word. It is long enough to see which cards have a stable price and which do not.
Base Set Charizard 4/102
Latest snapshot, 29 July: raw average AUD $711.08 across 16 listings, graded average AUD $1,393.14 across 9. Graded copies ask about twice the raw average.
The interesting figure is the graded minimum: $608.21. That is below the raw average. A low-grade slab on this card is worth less than a clean raw copy, which is exactly what you would expect and exactly what most people ignore when they send a creased Base Set Charizard away hoping for a number to hide behind.
Stability is poor. The daily raw average ranged from $463.67 to $1,035.20 inside those 26 days, a 2.2x swing in the average itself. With 16 listings and a $114 to $2,090 spread, a single new listing shifts the whole figure. Direction over the window was down 11.8% raw and down 25.5% graded, but I would not read either as a market call. With nine graded listings, one $2,365 copy selling or being relisted swings that percentage on its own.
What the data supports: a base set Charizard in genuinely presentable raw condition sits somewhere in the mid-hundreds, and a well-graded one runs into four figures. What it does not support: a single "the price" for this card. Condition variance is too wide. Check the current numbers on the Base Set Charizard price page before you commit to either side of a trade.
Shining Charizard 107/105, Neo Destiny
This is the least liquid card in the set of five, and the numbers make it obvious. On 29 July the graded average was AUD $4,385.26 from five listings, with a floor of $1,823.25 and a ceiling of $10,121.33. Five listings. A range where the top asking price is 5.5 times the bottom.
That is not a price. It is a scatter of individual sellers at individual grades with no consensus between them.
Raw averaged $1,700.20 over 13 listings, and the raw minimum of $21.44 is a reminder to read what you are actually buying. At that figure you are looking at a proxy, a damaged copy, or a listing that is not the card at all. The daily raw average moved between $831.47 and $2,281.88 across the window. A 2.7x swing in the mean is the widest of the five.
Blunt version: if you own one, expect it to take time. If you want one, the shape of the Shining Charizard listings means patience is your main advantage. Cards with five graded listings and a wide spread reward the buyer who waits for one seller to need the money.
Shiny Charizard VMAX SV107, Shining Fates
The most orderly card on the list. Raw average AUD $242.35 across 18 listings on 29 July, with a tight range of $164.45 to $350. Graded average AUD $426.78 across 14 listings, $255 to $546.30. The graded premium is the lowest of the five at 1.8x.
The daily raw average only moved between $217.10 and $277.17 across the 26 days, a 1.28x band. Thirty-two total listings, narrow spreads, and an average that barely wobbles. That is what a card with real turnover looks like in this data.
Over the window raw rose 11.6% and graded fell 14.1%. Those cancel out to something close to noise on a card this tightly priced, and I would not build a decision on either figure from 26 days.
Charizard ex 199/165, Scarlet & Violet 151
The modern Special Illustration Rare that everyone compares to the old cards. On 29 July: raw average AUD $613.54 across 16 listings, graded average AUD $1,144.16 across 16, a 1.9x premium.
Two things stand out. First, the graded minimum of $609.18 is almost exactly the raw average of $613.54. On this card, a weak slab and a nice raw copy are asking the same money, which tells you the market is paying for the 10 and nothing else. Second, the raw range of $25 to $1,720.43 is a warning about what "Charizard ex 151" means in a search box. At $25 you are looking at a different card from the set, or a proxy, or damage.
The raw average rose 23.4% over the window while graded slipped 3.7%. On a card with a $25 floor, a 23% move in the average can be one cheap listing selling out of the pool. The daily average ranged $428.10 to $738.17. Compare that to the Shiny VMAX band and you can see this card's listings are less consistent than they look at first glance. Current figures sit on the Charizard ex SIR price page.
Celebrations Charizard 4/102, Classic Collection
Raw average AUD $327.16 on 29 July across 16 listings, range $257.40 to $500. Graded average AUD $748.15 across 16 listings, range $347.48 to $1,101.66. Graded asks 2.3x raw, the second-highest multiple of the five.
One detail worth naming: the 29 July raw average of $327.16 is the lowest daily raw average in the whole window. The high was $492.83. So the raw side finished the 26 days at its floor, down 17.7%, while the graded average finished up 21.8%. Those two moving in opposite directions on the same card over the same 26 days is the clearest sign in this dataset that we are watching listing composition, not collector behaviour. Cheap raw copies got listed. Expensive slabs got listed. Both averages followed.
Raw versus graded, side by side
| Card | Raw avg (29 Jul) | Graded avg (29 Jul) | Premium | Listings (raw / graded) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base Set Charizard 4/102 | $711.08 | $1,393.14 | 2.0x | 16 / 9 |
| Shining Charizard, Neo Destiny | $1,700.20 | $4,385.26 | 2.6x | 13 / 5 |
| Shiny Charizard VMAX, Shining Fates | $242.35 | $426.78 | 1.8x | 18 / 14 |
| Charizard ex SIR, 151 | $613.54 | $1,144.16 | 1.9x | 16 / 16 |
| Celebrations Charizard | $327.16 | $748.15 | 2.3x | 16 / 16 |
The premium multiples cluster between 1.8x and 2.6x. That is narrower than most collectors assume, and it hides the part that matters. On three of these five cards, the graded minimum sits at or below the raw average. Base Set: graded floor $608.21 against a raw average of $711.08. 151 SIR: $609.18 against $613.54. Shining Charizard: a graded floor of $1,823.25 against a raw average of $1,700.20, so barely above.
The 2x premium is the premium on a good grade. There is no premium on a bad one.
How much of this is the exchange rate?
Every figure above is AUD. A large share of the listings a buyer in Australia sees for these cards are US-sourced and priced in USD, then converted. That means the AUD number can move while nothing about collector demand changes at all. It is a mechanical effect and it is real.
What I cannot do is tell you how much. The snapshots record converted AUD figures, not the rate applied on each day, so splitting a $50 move into "rate" and "demand" is not something this dataset can do honestly. Anyone quoting you a percentage split on that is guessing.
Here is what the data does show. Four of the five graded averages fell over the same 26 days: down 25.5%, 13.1%, 14.1% and 3.7%. Raw was mixed. Unrelated cards falling together is more consistent with a common factor than with four separate stories about Charizard demand. A currency move is one candidate. A shift in who was listing in late July is another. With five cards and 26 days I cannot separate them, and I am not going to pretend otherwise.
The practical takeaway is unglamorous. If you are buying from a US seller, watch the rate as closely as you watch comps, and price the postage and any GST on import into your number before you decide something is cheap.
What moves and what sits
Using listing count plus the width of the daily average band as a rough guide to turnover:
- Moves regularly. Shiny Charizard VMAX, 32 listings across raw and graded, daily raw average confined to a $217.10 to $277.17 band. Celebrations Charizard, 32 listings, a $327.16 to $492.83 band. These are the two you can buy or sell inside a week at a price close to the average.
- Trades, but on its own schedule. Charizard ex SIR from 151, 32 listings but a daily raw average swinging $428.10 to $738.17. Plenty of supply, uneven pricing. Base Set Charizard, 25 listings and a 2.2x swing in the daily raw mean, driven by condition rather than demand.
- Sits. Shining Charizard. Five graded listings, a graded range from $1,823.25 to $10,121.33, and the widest raw volatility in the group. Cards like this list for months.
One caution on that grouping. A listing count measures supply, not sales. Sixteen listings can mean sixteen cards moving through every fortnight, or the same sixteen cards nobody wants. The tight price bands on the VMAX and the Celebrations copy are the reason I lean towards turnover on those two, and it remains an inference rather than a sales record.
Is grading worth it on any of these?
Run the Celebrations Charizard. Raw average $327.16, graded average $748.15, gap of $421. Now subtract grading fees, postage both ways with tracking and insurance, and the probability you get a 9 instead of a 10. The graded floor on that card is $347.48, roughly the raw average. So the bad outcome is not "slightly less money", it is "you spent the fee and the postage to arrive back where you started".
Same shape on the 151 SIR, where a weak slab asks $609.18 and a raw copy averages $613.54. The 2x headline premium is entirely conditional on the top grade, and modern SIRs with centering and surface issues do not get there.
Base Set is the one case where the arithmetic can work, because the raw side is so unreliable that a slab buys the buyer certainty and they pay for it. Even there, the graded floor of $608.21 sitting below the $711.08 raw average is the honest warning. Grade the copy that will grade well. Sell the rest raw and describe it properly. If you are weighing a submission, the grading guide covers the cost side in more detail than a price average can.
Twenty-six days is twenty-six days. Ask again in three months.