Where One Piece TCG prices settled after the rush

By CardPop Research Team — 2026-08-06 · 8 min read

Five tracked alt arts and secret rares, 33 days of eBay snapshots to 5 August 2026. The averages move by up to 440% in a month, and almost none of that is real price movement — it's four listings changing hands with the asking price.

On 5 August 2026 the Romance Dawn Nami alternate art (OP01-016) showed 13 raw listings in CardPop's eBay snapshot at an average of AUD $464.02. The high point of that same average inside the 33-day window was $1,112.74. That is a 58.3% fall from the first observation on 4 July to the last on 5 August. If you want a single sentence on where One Piece TCG prices sit after the rush, that is not it. The honest version takes longer, because the number that fell 58% is an average of asking prices across a handful of listings, and the number of listings matters more than the number of dollars.

What the snapshot actually measures

Every figure below comes from CardPop's daily eBay AU/US snapshots over the window 4 July to 5 August 2026, 32 observations across 33 days. Each daily reading is the average of what is listed, not a record of what sold. That distinction does most of the work in this article.

Look at the minimums. Zoro's alternate art (OP01-025) recorded a raw minimum of $4.97 on 5 August. Shanks (OP01-120) recorded $9.48. Nami's alt art recorded $11.36. Nobody is selling a Romance Dawn alt art Zoro for five dollars. Those entries are mislabelled listings, base-rarity copies filed under the wrong number, damaged cards, or proxies. The scraper picks them up, they drag the average down, and there is no way to strip them out without hand-checking every row.

Now look at the maximums. Shanks recorded a graded maximum of $12,125.38 across four graded listings. That single listing pulls the graded average to $3,171.93 and produces a stated graded change of +2,417.4% over the window. Nothing happened to the market for graded Shanks in July. One optimistic seller listed one card.

So read these tables as a picture of what Australian and US sellers are asking, with the width of the range as the main signal. Where the range is tight and the listing count is decent, the number means something. Where four listings span $4.97 to $1,005.96, it does not.

One Piece TCG prices card by card, to 5 August 2026

CardSetRaw avg 5 AugRaw listingsRaw range in windowChange over windowGraded avg (listings)
Shanks (Secret Rare) OP01-120Romance Dawn$89.0323$45.06–$102.21-12.5%$3,171.93 (4)
Nami (Alt Art) OP01-016Romance Dawn$464.0213$416.11–$1,112.74-58.3%$944.69 (6)
Roronoa Zoro (Alt Art) OP01-025Romance Dawn$423.934$204.35–$427.04+62.2%$1,218.38 (3)
Portgas D. Ace (Alt Art) OP02-013Paramount War$206.889$37.92–$259.78+440.2%$1,453.02 (4)
Luffy Gear 5 (Secret Rare) OP05-119Awakening of the New Era$153.228$119.05–$181.48+19.9%none listed

Two rows in that table are worth trusting more than the others.

Luffy Gear 5 (OP05-119) held a raw average between $119.05 and $181.48 for the whole 33 days, ending at $153.22 across eight listings. That is a band of about $62 on a $150 card. The stated +19.9% change is the first-to-last reading, and given the band it is noise rather than a trend. What it does tell you is that there is enough supply for the price to behave like a price.

Zoro's alt art (OP01-025) is the opposite case in raw and the best case in graded. Four raw listings on 5 August spanning $4.97 to $1,005.96 tells you nothing. Three graded listings spanning $1,113.49 to $1,277.86, with the graded average moving -1.3% across the window, tells you quite a lot. Graded copies of that card are being asked at roughly $1,100 to $1,280 and sellers are not moving off it.

OP-01 versus everything after it

Bandai does not publish print run figures, so anyone quoting you a number for Romance Dawn English is guessing. What we can observe is listing depth, and the pattern in the snapshot fits what the market has assumed for years: early OP-01 English product is scarce relative to demand, and the sets from OP-05 onward are not.

Compare like with like. The Shanks secret rare from Romance Dawn showed 23 raw listings on 5 August at an average of $89.03. The Luffy Gear 5 secret rare from OP-05 showed eight listings at $153.22. Two secret rares, and the newer, cheaper-to-open one is the more expensive of the pair on the raw average. Shanks is the older and, in principle, scarcer card. It is also the one that has been reprinted into the ground and pulled out of years of accumulated sealed product, and it sits in a set where the alt arts absorb almost all the collector attention.

That is the split. Within Romance Dawn, the two tracked alternate arts sit at $464.02 (Nami) and $423.93 (Zoro) raw, with graded copies asked at $944.69 and $1,218.38 on average. The set's secret rare sits at $89.03. Rarity slot is not driving one piece card value here. Character and art are.

Ace's alt art from Paramount War (OP02-013) is the row I trust least and the one people ask about most. Its raw average went from a window low of $37.92 to $259.78 at the high, ending at $206.88 on 5 August, which the data records as +440.2% first-to-last. Do not read that as a card quadrupling in five weeks. With nine listings spanning $14.48 to $820.75, the average is tracking which listings happened to be live on a given day. The graded side moved -19.9% across the same window on four listings ranging $242.82 to $3,124. Those two figures point in opposite directions, and neither has the sample size to settle the argument. Four sales worth of listings in a month is not enough to call a direction.

The graded premium is not one number

Across the five cards the graded premium multiple ranges from 2.0x to 35.6x. That spread alone should stop anyone using a rule of thumb.

The Nami case is the interesting one for anyone weighing a submission. Graded copies moved -3.7% across the window while the raw average fell 58.3%. That is not graded strength. It is more likely that the early-July raw average was propped up by a couple of high asks that came down or sold through, while the graded asks barely moved because there are only six of them and their owners are patient.

On a $464 raw card, a 2.0x graded average does not clear the cost of grading plus postage plus the risk of a 9. If you are working through the maths on that, our grading guide covers the fee and freight side. The short version for Nami at current asks: the premium is not there unless you are confident of a 10, and the graded minimum of $404.70 shows what a lower grade does to the outcome.

Australian stock is thin, and the listed price overstates it

The snapshot pools eBay AU and US listings. For most of these cards, the Australian share of that pool is small. When there are four raw listings for a Romance Dawn Zoro alt art worldwide in the feed, the number of them sitting in Australia on any given day can be zero.

That has two practical consequences and both cut against the headline figure.

First, thin markets let stale asks sit. A card listed at $1,000 for three months with no offers still reports as $1,000 in every daily snapshot. In a deep market it would be undercut in a week. In a market with four listings it just sits there, contributing to the average, teaching everyone the wrong number. The Zoro raw range of $204.35 to $427.04 over 33 days on four listings is more likely to be listings appearing and disappearing than any real revaluation.

Second, the gap between ask and take is wider here than the snapshot can show. We are tracking listings, not completed sales. Anyone who has sold a mid-four-figure One Piece single in Australia knows the pattern: the ask sits high, the offers come in 15% to 25% under, and one of them gets taken. On a $423.93 average with a $1,005.96 top listing, the realistic take on a clean raw Zoro alt art is somewhere well below the average, and I cannot tell you where from this data. What I can tell you is which direction the error runs.

So if you are pricing a one piece alt art for sale in Australia, do not anchor on the listing average. Anchor on the tightest cluster you can find, discount for the fact that the buyer pool for a $400-plus single here is measured in dozens, and expect to wait or to travel on price.

What the 33 days support, and what they do not

Supported: Luffy Gear 5 has settled into a $119 to $181 band with real listing depth. Graded Zoro alt arts are being asked at $1,113 to $1,278 and have not budged. The Romance Dawn secret rare Shanks is a sub-$100 raw card at $89.03, down 12.5% across the window on 23 listings, which is the largest raw sample here and therefore the most reliable single reading in the dataset.

Not supported: any claim that Nami's alt art lost 58% of its value, that Ace's gained 440%, or that graded Shanks appreciated 2,417%. Those are listing-composition effects on samples of four to 13. Anyone quoting them at you as market movement is either not reading the listing counts or hoping you won't.

The cooling is real enough in the aggregate. It shows up as fewer listings and wider spreads, not as a clean line down. Thirty-three days of asking prices on five cards cannot tell you where One Piece goes next, and a longer window is the only thing that will. Check the individual price pages for Nami OP01-016 and Shanks OP01-120 as those windows extend, and watch the listing count column before the dollar one.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are One Piece alt arts still worth buying in Australia in 2026?

It depends entirely on which one, and the snapshot cannot answer it for cards with four listings. What the 4 July to 5 August 2026 window shows is that the deeper-supply cards behave predictably (Luffy Gear 5 held a $119 to $181 raw band) while the scarce Romance Dawn alt arts swing wildly on listing composition. If you are buying for the long term, buy the card you want at a price you have verified against several live listings, not against an average.

Why do One Piece card prices in Australia look higher than the US?

Thin supply and freight. When only a handful of copies are listed locally, sellers have no pressure to undercut each other, so asks sit high for months without selling. Add Australia Post or international shipping plus the exchange rate on a US purchase and the local premium often survives even after you factor in importing.

Is it worth grading a One Piece alternate art?

Check the premium multiple first. On the 5 August 2026 snapshot, the Nami OP01-016 alt art showed a graded average of $944.69 against a raw average of $464.02, a multiple of only 2.0x, and the cheapest graded listing was $404.70. At that spread the grading fee, postage and the risk of a 9 eat the margin. The Zoro alt art, at 2.9x with a tight graded band of $1,113 to $1,278, is a closer call.

Which One Piece cards from Romance Dawn hold value best?

In this dataset the alternate arts far outstrip the secret rare. Nami OP01-016 and Zoro OP01-025 sat at raw averages of $464.02 and $423.93 on 5 August 2026, while the Shanks secret rare OP01-120 sat at $89.03 across 23 listings. Character and artwork are driving value in that set, not the rarity slot.

What is the difference between an alternate art and a secret rare in One Piece?

An alternate art is a different illustration of a card that also exists at normal rarity, usually pulled at a lower rate. A secret rare is a separate rarity tier, typically manga-panel or full-art treatment, numbered above the main set. Neither label guarantees a higher price, as the $89.03 Shanks secret rare against the $464.02 Nami alt art shows.

How do I work out what my One Piece card is actually worth before selling?

Ignore single asking prices and look for a cluster. Find at least five comparable listings, discard the obvious outliers at both ends, and then discount for the fact that Australian buyers for a $400-plus single are few and usually make offers 15% to 25% under the ask. Our One Piece price pages track the daily averages and, more usefully, the listing counts behind them.

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